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二线楼市“三高”扭曲供求关系

作者:陈涛 来源:经济参考报 时间:2016-04-27

zaiyixianchengshifangdichandiaokongzhengceshoujintongshi,“yure”xiangwaikuosan,erxianchengshifangdichanshichangjijushengwen,chuxianle“fangjiazhangfugao”、“dijiayijialvgao”、“touzitoujikebiligao”de“sangao”zhengzhuang。zaifangdichanshichangjibenmianweifashengxianzhubianhuaqingkuangxia,erxianchengshiloushi“sangao”zhengzhuang,jiangdaozhishichanggongqiuguanxiniuqucuowei,zhidegaodujingti。

利奥官网 juguojiatongjijufabude2016nian3yuequanguo70gedazhongchengshifangjiashuju,shamen、hefeidefangjiahuanbizhangfufenbiewei5.4%、4.6%,chaoguohushen,lingzhangquanguo;nanjing、hangzhou、tianjinhefuzhoudengerxianchengshifangjiahuanbizhangfuyezaiqianshi。tongshi,nanjing、hangzhou、shamen、hefei、suzhoudengerxianchengshitudishichangyichanghuoyue,dijiayijialvdafushangsheng,jinrichengjiaodehefeimoudikuaiyijialvda400%,suzhoumoudikuaiyijialvda319%,dijiachaoyuefangjiayichengweipubianxianxiang。haiyou,zaifangdichanshichangjijushengwenbeihou,waidigoufangbiliyezaigaowei,2015nianshamenwaidigoufangbilichaoguo60%,huizhouhedongguandezhufangshenzhenhujigoufangbilichaoguo50%,xianshichujudadetouzitoujichaozuoliliang。muqiankan,nianchuyixianchengshiloushi“fashao”suoyinfadeshifanxiaoying,bingbuhuiyinweiyixianchengshifangdichandiaokongzhengceturanshoujinerzifashuaijian,fanerhaihuiyichukuosan,daidongerxianchengshi、sanxianchengshizhufangjiaoyishengwen,yidingchengdutuidongzhuzhaikucundexiaohua。

danlishijingyanbiaoming,zaifangdichanshichangjibenmianmeiyouxianzhubianhuaqingkuangxia,yikaotouzitoujichaozuoliliangqudong,wangwanghuiyinfashichanggongqiuniuqucuowei。2009nianhainansanyafangjiacengdafushangzhang,dancihoufangjiaquechixuxiadie,rujinzhufangjunjiayoudiehui5nianqian。jishishidangqianchengjiaoyichanghuobaodehangzhouloushi,2014niannianchudekaifashangzhudongjiangjiaxingweiqidonglequanguofangdichanshichangdezifadiaozheng。gengbuyongshuo,cengjingzuoweiyixianchengshifangjiacanzhaowudexianggangfangjia,zi2015nian10yuefenyilai,xianggangsirenzhuzhaishoujiazhishuyiliandie5geyue,leijixiadie10.88%。zheixieqingkuangbiaoming,dangqianerxianchengshifangjia、dijiaguokuaishangzhangcunzaiyidingcuiruoxing。

yangeyiyishangshuo,woguofangdichanshichanghaiweijingliyigewanquanzhouqi。shichangduifangjiadeguoduleguanqingxu,gengduoshixinliyuqideziwoshixian。dangqianwoguoyi、erxianchengshizhuzhaizujinshouyilvhaibudao2%,chiyouzhuzhaideyiyizaiyuweilaizhuzhaijiagedafushangzhang。erguoquzhuzhaijiagechixudafushangzhangdezhengju,fanguolaiyouguhualefangjiashangzhangyuqi,chengweizhuzhaitouzitoujichaozuodexinlijichu,danshishishangyouquefawuzhijichu。zhangqikan,zhufangzhenshijiazhijiangzongtibaochiwending。fanyingtichutonghuopengzhangyinsuhoumeiguozhenshifangjiadezhishu(kaisi-xilezhishu),zai1890nianzhi1997nianzhangda100duoniandeshijianlizongtibaochipingwen。ruguojiang1890nianzhishushewei100,neimedao1995nian-1997niandezhishupingjunzhiwei110。zaicong1890niandao1997nianmanzhangdelishizhong,meiguoxiangduifangjiadenianjunzengzhanglvjinwei0.09%,zhengminglezhangqichiyoufangchanbingbushiyigefacaizhifudetujing。

muqian,woguorenkouzengzhangyijingchuxianguaidian、jingjizengzhangzhongshuhuiluo、tudicaizhengmianlingaige、zhuzhaikucunrengchugaoweidengbuliyufangjiashangzhangyinsuzhengzaijiju,ruoerxianchengshifangjiajieliyixianchengshiguokuaishangzhang,bujinbuliyuzhuzhaixuqiupingwenjijuheshifang,erqiehaihuijiajushichangbodong,jinyibuniuqushichanggongqiuguanxi,zengdafangdichanshichangyunxingfengxian。gengweizhongyaodeshi,fangjiaguokuaishangzhangzehuijiangdishoufukuanjiyujinrongjigouzhufanganjiedaikuandeanquanbianji。dangweilaidamianjizhuzhailiudongxingbianxianxuqiushangshengshi,fangjiayijiyinxingfangdichandaikuanzhiliangjiangmianlinzhenzhengyanjunkaoyan。erzheizhongkenengxingsuizhelaolinghuashidaidaolaibingfeichirenshuomeng。


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